Weekend Box Office 12/12 - NARNIA #1 But Weak

[AndyDursin]

Decent opening for NARNIA -- but not great considering it's in 3-D -- maybe it'll get bumped up over the holidays.

The horribly-reviewed (and quite terrible looking) THE TOURIST tanked even with Jolie and Depp starring. Looks like Johnny needed another paycheck before the next Pirates (as if he needed one!).

1. Chronicles Of Narnia/Voyage Of Dawn Teader 3D (Fox) NEW [3,555 Theaters]
Friday $9M, Estimated Weekend $28M

2. The Tourist (GK Films/Sony) NEW [2,756 Theaters]
Friday $6.5M, Estimated Weekend $18.5M

3. Tangled (Disney) Week 3 [3,565 Theaters]
Friday $3.4M, Estimated Weekend $14.5M, Cume $115.5M

4. Harry Potter/Deathly Hallows, Pt 1 (Warner Bros) Week 4 [3,577 Theaters]
Friday $2.3M, Estimated Weekend $8.5M, Cume $257.7M

5. Unstoppable (Fox) Week 5 [2,967 Theaters]
Friday $1.1M, Estimated Weekend $3.8M, Cume $74.2M

6. Burlesque (Screen Gems/Sony) Week 3
Friday $1M, Estimated Weekend $3.2M, Estimated Cume $32.7M

7. Love And Other Drugs (Fox) Week 3
Friday $1M, Estimated Weekend $3M, Estimated Cume $27.6M

8. Black Swan (Fox Searchlight) Week 2 [90 Theaters]
Friday $925K, Estimated Weekend $3M, Estimated Cume $5.3M

9. Due Date (Warner Bros) Week 6
Friday $825K, Estimated Weekend $2.5M, Estimated Cume $94.8M

10. Megamind 3D (DreamWorks Animation/Paramount) Week 7
Friday $775K, Estimated Weekend $3M, Estimated Cume $140.8M

[AndyDursin]

This is also a "calm before the storm" of the next 10 days, when big titles like the well-reviewed THE FIGHTER, TRON, TRUE GRIT and others all open, competing for the same dollars.

[Eric W.]

Decent opening for NARNIA -- but not great considering it's in 3-D -- maybe it'll get bumped up over the holidays.

Definitely calm before storm and I expect this gets a nice boost through holidays. I really think 3D is a relative nonfactor at this point up or down for reasons we've all discussed a million times.

The horribly-reviewed (and quite terrible looking) THE TOURIST tanked even with Jolie and Depp starring. Looks like Johnny needed another paycheck before the next Pirates (as if he needed one!).

Good. It's basically a smut film from what I gather. I hope it craters.

[AndyDursin]

I don't know that THE TOURIST is a "smut" movie (isn't it PG-13?), but I've read people calling it "laughably bad".

[Eric W.]

I don't know that THE TOURIST is a "smut" movie (isn't it PG-13?), but I've read people calling it "laughably bad".

I thought there was some kind of supposedly super raunchy sex scene between these two that was generating some buzz but at PG-13 I guess not or they took it out.

Or they'll have it in the unrated extended version that comes out on disc. Whooptie-doo.

In any event, it looked like garbage, sounds like garbage and I'm glad it's doing poorly.

[AndyDursin]

NARNIA didn't get any kind of matinee bounce. Estimates have it revised downwards at $25 million, so it's certainly going to be the end of the road one anticipates for that franchise.

[Eric W.]

NARNIA didn't get any kind of matinee bounce. Estimates have it revised downwards at $25 million, so it's certainly going to be the end of the road one anticipates for that franchise.

Hmmm...not very promising.


You don't think it's going to get a bounce once the kids are out of school and Christmas break and all that happen and you need something to take grandma and the kids out to on Christmas day or some such?

[AndyDursin]

You don't think it's going to get a bounce once the kids are out of school and Christmas break and all that happen and you need something to take grandma and the kids out to on Christmas day or some such?

Unfortunately if it didn't get a bounce on a Saturday or Sunday when kids aren't in school, it's probably not going to do very big business. Remember it's also in 3-D so that gooses the grosses typically. All things considered $25 million is a borderline disaster (it's lower than the openings for ERAGON and GOLDEN COMPASS), I think they were hoping for $40 million or thereabouts.

There will be other movies for family audiences too. Next weekend you also get the PG-rated TRON which is aimed at a wide audience and kids in particular (and "looks cooler") plus the terrible looking GULLIVER'S TRAVELS on Christmas Day which is also a family movie too and with Jack Black will probably have some crossover appeal. Thus, I think NARNIA is pretty much DOA.

[Eric W.]

You don't think it's going to get a bounce once the kids are out of school and Christmas break and all that happen and you need something to take grandma and the kids out to on Christmas day or some such?

Unfortunately if it didn't get a bounce on a Saturday or Sunday when kids aren't in school, it's probably not going to do very big business. Remember it's also in 3-D so that gooses the grosses typically. All things considered $25 million is a borderline disaster (it's lower than the openings for ERAGON and GOLDEN COMPASS), I think they were hoping for $40 million or thereabouts.

Wow. That's all true. Definitely not looking good for this at all. I guess this is the end of the movie series.

There will be other movies for family audiences too. Next weekend you also get the PG-rated TRON which is aimed at a wide audience and kids in particular (and "looks cooler") plus the terrible looking GULLIVER'S TRAVELS on Christmas Day which is also a family movie too and with Jack Black will probably have some crossover appeal. Thus, I think NARNIA is pretty much DOA.

Damn. That's sad when you're going to take a dive for a Jack Black flick and especially something that looks as terrible as that does. I hope that thing bombs.

[AndyDursin]

Damn. That's sad when you're going to take a dive for a Jack Black flick and especially something that looks as terrible as that does. I hope that thing bombs.

I do too. But between that, TRON and even YOGI BEAR, there are a number of family flicks coming out. Doesn't bode well for NARNIA.

[Paul MacLean]

Thus, I think NARNIA is pretty much DOA.

I wonder how that bodes for the possibility of more sequels. There are seven books altogether. Perhaps they will wind-up direct-to-home video releases?

[AndyDursin]

Thus, I think NARNIA is pretty much DOA.

I wonder how that bodes for the possibility of more sequels. There are seven books altogether. Perhaps they will wind-up direct-to-home video releases?

It's entirely possible they could do that, especially if the film performs well on video and internationally. So it may not be "the end." However, I think it's pretty much over for another theatrical sequel produced on this kind of level. The budget on this sequel was $150 million -- but $100 mil under PRINCE CASPIAN (which tells you how much of a flop that film was). Opening under $25 million is really a huge disappointment from a financial standpoint...almost "flop" category.

FWIW I saw a couple of reviews that said this sequel ends on a "note of finality" for these particular characters.

[AndyDursin]

Full weekend numbers...even worse news for NARNIA.

1 N The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader Fox $24,500,000 - 3,555 - $6,892 $24,500,000 $155 1
2 N The Tourist Sony $17,000,000 - 2,756 - $6,168 $17,000,000 $100 1
3 1 Tangled BV $14,559,000 -32.6% 3,565 -38 $4,084 $115,623,000 $260 3
4 2 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1 WB $8,500,000 -50.1% 3,577 -548 $2,376 $257,688,000 - 4
5 4 Unstoppable Fox $3,750,000 -37.2% 2,967 -185 $1,264 $74,272,000 $100 5
6 13 Black Swan FoxS $3,332,000 +130.8% 90 +72 $37,022 $5,611,000 $13 2

7 3 Burlesque SGem $3,200,000 -47.8% 2,876 -161 $1,113 $32,574,000 $55 3
8 5 Love and Other Drugs Fox $3,000,000 -46.9% 2,240 -218 $1,339 $27,648,000 $30 3
9 7 Due Date WB $2,545,000 -38.4% 1,990 -460 $1,279 $94,884,000 $65 6
10 6 Megamind P/DW $2,510,000 -49.2% 2,425 -748 $1,035 $140,202,000 $130 6
11 8 Faster CBS $1,735,000 -55.9% 2,106 -364 $824 $21,340,000 $24 3
12 10 The Next Three Days LGF $1,100,000 -57.2% 1,426 -810 $771 $20,376,000