Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

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AndyDursin
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Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#1 Post by AndyDursin »

Keep in mind this is from a movie theater chain owner who has a pub-styled set-up that sells their own craft beer -- it's not a simple multiplex like those around the lot of us. The decline is going to be even greater at those establishments, which frankly should've innovated a whole lot more a long time ago.

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/30/flix-br ... covid.html
In an interview on “Squawk on the Street,” Reagan said the Texas-based company, which operates 10 dine-in cinemas and brews its own craft beer, is projecting 2022 to be a “more normal year” for its business, after Covid-19 vaccinations become broadly available.

“The total attendance, based on the traditional curve, might be down 15% to 25% on a permanent basis. That’s the way we’re gaming this out permanently,” Reagan said.

Movie theaters and entertainment venues generally have been hard hit by the pandemic, as screens went dark in the spring during the initial wave of public-health restrictions. But even as movie theaters began to operate in some locations, they soon confronted the challenge of limited new releases to entice people to attend.

“We are now like a kind of a grocery shop that have no food to sell,” Cineworld CEO Mooky Greidinger told CNBC in October to explain why the parent of Regal Cinemas decided to temporarily shutter its locations in the U.K. and U.S.

Domestic ticket sales were down 80% this year to $2.28 billion, according Comscore data. In 2019, for comparison, ticket sales were $11.4 billion, the second-best total ever.

Flix Brewhouse, which opened its first location in 2011, said revenues in 2020 were down by just over 90% year over year. All its locations are currently closed, Reagan said.

The company tapped into the Paycheck Protection Program earlier this year. Now, it will lean on the aid earmarked in the latest $900 billion coronavirus relief package for independent music venues and theaters. “We’re looking at this funding as the means that enables us to go forward so that we’re paying next August’s rent, not last August’s rent,” Reagan said.

The acceleration of digital streaming during the pandemic has some people wondering what the long-term movie theater landscape looks like, and Reagan acknowledged it will be altered.

“We’re hoping that the industry, which is a little bit over-screened right now, loses some screens due to natural attrition. I don’t think anybody is going to be head over heels building new theaters right now,” said Reagan. “We also need to broaden our entertainment offerings beyond just the film product.”


However, he contended people’s desire to experience in-person entertainment, whether it be a movie or an alternative, will remain. Flix Brewhouse, with its in-theater food and beer offerings, has an opportunity to stand out, Reagan said.

“We’re actually a brew pub, a gastropub, that shows movies ... and we think we’ve got a pretty good shot at surviving,” Reagan said. “You can get any sporting event that you want in your living room all weekend long, but we still have sports bars. We still have Buffalo Wild Wings and all kinds of sports-bar concepts for the same reason: people want to get out and they want to have somebody take care of them. They want a little bit of entertainment.”

Johnmgm
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Re: Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#2 Post by Johnmgm »

We watched "Soul" on Disney+ and enjoyed it. But *I* still prefer the theatrical experience and will pay to see some movies on the big screen even if they are simultaneously streaming.

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AndyDursin
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Re: Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#3 Post by AndyDursin »

It's kind of like McDonalds -- you might live near a good one that serves hot and fresh food. Or you might live near a dumpy one you'd never go to again. Theaters are similar. Some of you guys clearly live near more metropolitan areas where there's an investment in the movie going process. I don't live near that. My complex hasn't been touched since 1998 and they've done nothing to enhance it over the decades. There's no shortage of screens around me, but none of them are really any more worthwhile. It's why I have very little emotional connection to "going to the movies". It's not what it used to be.

In terms of streaming, I also think it will be impossible to put the genie back in the bottle so to speak. Especially if some theaters never open again and/or there's a reduction in screens, streaming is going to be an option from here on possibly for most every major title. It's never going back the way it was in terms of the amount of screens and the money Hollywood was grossing every weekend on some of these. And like I've long written, it's mostly going to become a playground for the massive comic book movies and brand cinema that needs all the screens...which is a problem for the long term anyway because that was never a sustainable model for cinemas future, even before COVID.

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Monterey Jack
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Re: Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#4 Post by Monterey Jack »

I have nothing to live for without movie theaters.

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AndyDursin
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Re: Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#5 Post by AndyDursin »

You aren't far from Boston, there's always going to be a good option MJ around you. 8)

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Monterey Jack
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Re: Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#6 Post by Monterey Jack »

AndyDursin wrote: Thu Dec 31, 2020 9:32 pm You aren't far from Boston, there's always going to be a good option MJ around you. 8)
The AMC Lowes in Boston is closed. The art-house place in Dedham is closed. That leaves National Amusements in Dedham, and if that closes down and folds permanently... :cry:

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AndyDursin
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Re: Theater Chain CEO Expects Up to 25% "Permanent" Attendance Loss

#7 Post by AndyDursin »

Those will reopen when Herr Governor decides to. It's the plexes out in the burbs, some of which may go the way of the shopping mall.

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